视频：上周的回声回响。这是一段几分钟的视频，我试图概述上周的重大事态发展，包括美联储的鹰派立场、日本央行加息和英国的补选，其影响可能尚未结束。  

Video: Last Week's Echo to Reverberate.Here is a few minute video  where I try to sketch out the significant developments last week, including the Fed's hawkish hold, BOJ rate hike, and the by-election in the UK, whose effects may not have run their course yet.  

打破：伊朗在违反停火协议的情况下关闭霍尔木兹海峡。打破：伊朗在违反停火协议的情况下关闭霍尔木兹海峡

Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation.Breaking: Iran closes the Strait of Hormuz amid ceasefire deal violation

美元/日元每周展望：日本央行干预威胁对抗鹰派美联储。美元/日元在160以上的已知干预区进入新的一周交易，让交易员在日本央行采取行动的风险与明显变得更加鹰派的美联储之间取得平衡。随着6月联邦公开市场委员会会议后美元/日元与美日两年期收益率差之间的关系迅速加强，人们的注意力完全集中在能够改变利率前景的美国数据和美联储发言人身上。

USD/JPY Weekly Outlook: BOJ Intervention Threat Battles Hawkish Fed.USD/JPY enters the new week trading in a known intervention zone above 160, leaving traders to balance the risk of BOJ action against a Federal Reserve that has turned noticeably more hawkish. With the relationship between USD/JPY and US-Japan two-year yield spreads strengthening rapidly following the June FOMC meeting, the focus falls squarely on US data and Fed speakers capable of altering the rates outlook.

下一篇：消化上周的发展。上周意义重大。在华盛顿和德黑兰之间的谈判中，60天的缓和是脆弱的。

Week Ahead: Digesting Last Week's Evolving Developments.Last week was momentous. There was a fragile 60-day de-escalation during negotiations between Washington and Tehran.

美联储重新定价重塑市场，美元反弹面临技术考验。以对油价下跌的乐观情绪开始的一周，以市场关注美联储再次收紧政策的前景而结束。美伊协议带来的和平红利继续推低能源价格，并有助于支撑风险情绪。

Dollar Rally Faces Defining Technical Test as Fed Repricing Reshapes Markets.A week that began with optimism over falling oil prices ended with markets fixated on the prospect of renewed Federal Reserve tightening. The peace dividend from the US-Iran agreement continued to push energy prices lower and helped support risk sentiment.

2026年日元展望：通胀压力给日本央行加息空间。日元本周仍面临压力，美元兑日元汇率（USD/JPY）从4月份的155.0左右上涨至161.31附近，接近2026年的最高水平。此举反映了美元的普遍走强，以及人们对日本央行在年仍远远落后于其他主要央行的持续担忧。

Japanese Yen Outlook 2026: Inflation Pressures Give BoJ Room to Hike.The Japanese Yen remained under pressure this week, with the Dollar to Yen exchange rate (USD/JPY) trading near 161.31, close to its highest levels of 2026 after rising from around 155.0 in April. The move reflects both broad US Dollar strength and lingering concerns that the Bank of Japan remains well behind other major central banks in.

美元：为什么汇丰银行认为美元回来了。美元在6月份的美联储会议后恢复了势头，促使汇丰银行放弃了此前的谨慎立场，并预测大多数主要货币的美元将走强。周四，欧元兑美元汇率（EUR/USD）为1.1468，较6月高点1.1660大幅下跌，市场对此做出了反应。

US Dollar: Why HSBC Thinks the Greenback Is Back.The US Dollar has regained momentum following June's Federal Reserve meeting, prompting HSBC to abandon its previously cautious stance and forecast a stronger greenback across most major currencies. The Euro to Dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) traded at 1.1468 on Thursday, down sharply from June highs above 1.1660 as markets reacted to.

英格兰银行将暂停至2026年：高盛。在英格兰银行做出最新政策决定后，英镑周五有所回升，英镑/美元在本周早些时候触及1.3164附近的三个月低点后，上涨0.25%至1.3235。高盛认为，随着通胀压力的缓解和能源的增加，英国央行越来越愿意保持利率不变。

Bank of England to Stay on Hold Through 2026: Goldman Sachs.The Pound Sterling recovered some ground on Friday after the Bank of England's latest policy decision, with GBP/USD rising 0.25% to 1.3235 after touching a three-month low near 1.3164 earlier in the week. Goldman Sachs believes the BoE is becoming increasingly comfortable keeping rates unchanged as inflation pressures ease and energy.

布伦特原油价格为80美元：市场是否两次购买伊朗协议？。布伦特原油价格为80美元：市场是否两次购买伊朗协议？

Brent at $80: Did the market buy the Iran deal twice?.Brent at $80: Did the market buy the Iran deal twice?

欧元因自身加息而下跌。欧元因自身加息而下跌

The Euro sinks on its own rate hike.The Euro sinks on its own rate hike

澳元寻找打破排名的借口。澳元寻找打破排名的借口

The Australian Dollar looks for an excuse to break ranks.The Australian Dollar looks for an excuse to break ranks

美元记得如何反弹。美元记得如何反弹

The US Dollar remembers how to rally.The US Dollar remembers how to rally

预测下周：美元在美国关键通胀数据公布前失去动力。预测下周：美元在美国关键通胀数据公布前失去动力

Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar loses momentum ahead of key US inflation data.Forecasting the upcoming week: US Dollar loses momentum ahead of key US inflation data

天然气价格预测：区间突破可能决定下一步行动。天然气本周收于3.25美元附近的窄doji区间，关键支撑位和阻力位使市场有可能突破或崩溃。

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Range Breakout Could Define Next Move.Natural gas ends the week in a tight doji range near $3.25, with key support and resistance levels positioning the market for a potential breakout or breakdown.

上涨还是下跌：6月份油价下一步走势如何？。霍尔木兹海峡仍然是全球能源市场最重要的压力点。

Up Or Down: Where Are Oil Prices Heading Next In June?.The Strait of Hormuz remains the most important pressure point in global Energy markets.