2024年5月，瑞典的贸易顺差飙升至119亿瑞典克朗，较上年同月的9亿瑞典克朗大幅扩大。这是自1月份以来最大的贸易顺差，出口同比增长4%，达到1867亿瑞典克朗，这是由于对非欧盟国家的销售额激增（10.3%，达到901亿瑞典克朗），但部分被对欧盟国家的出货量下降（-1.2%，达到966亿瑞典克）所抵消。与此同时，进口下降2.1%，至1748亿瑞典克朗，受欧盟国家采购减少（-4.5%，至1156亿瑞典克朗）的影响，非欧盟国家采购增加（2.8%，至592亿克朗）略有限制。经季节性调整后，该国5月的贸易顺差从4月的67亿瑞典克朗增至82亿瑞典克朗。考虑到今年前五个月，贸易顺差扩大至467亿瑞典克朗，大大高于去年同期的264亿瑞典克朗。

Sweden’s trade surplus soared to SEK 11.9 billion in May 2024, broadly widening from SEK 0.9 billion in the same month a year earlier. It was the largest trade surplus since January, as exports rose 4% year-on-year to SEK 186.7 billion, driven by a surge in sales to non-EU countries (10.3% to SEK 90.1 billion), but was partially offset by the decline in shipments to EU countries (-1.2% to SEK 96.6 billion). Meanwhile, imports fell 2.1% to SEK 174.8 billion, weighed by lower purchases from EU countries (-4.5% to SEK 115.6 billion), slightly capped by increased purchases from non-EU countries (2.8% to SEK 59.2 billion). On a seasonally adjusted basis, the country’s trade surplus rose to SEK 8.2 billion in May compared to SEK 6.7 billion in April. Considering the first five months of the year, the trade surplus widened to SEK 46.7 billion, significantly higher than SEK 26.4 billion in the corresponding period last year.

继上月上调0.7%的增长后，2024年5月瑞典零售额同比增长0.8%。耐用品（0.1%）和消耗品（1.9%）的销售额都有所增长。从月度来看，5月份零售贸易增长0.2%，略低于前一时期0.3%的增长。

Retail sales in Sweden rose 0.8% year-on-year in May 2024, following an upwardly revised 0.7% growth in the previous month. Sales increased for both durables (0.1%) and consumables (1.9%). On a monthly basis, retail trade grew 0.2% in May, edging lower from a 0.3% rise in the prior period.

2024年5月，瑞典家庭贷款的年增长率从上月的0.5%小幅上升至0.7%。抵押贷款仍占家庭贷款总额的83%，而消费贷款占6%，同比增长3.1%。与此同时，家庭抵押贷款新协议的平均利率为4.49%，而抵押贷款的平均浮动利率为4.56%。5月份，非金融企业贷款的年增长率下降了1.6%，仍为负值。

The annual growth rate of lending to Swedish households edged up to 0.7 percent in May 2024 from a 0.5 percent rise in the previous month. Mortgages still accounted for 83 percent of total lending to households, while consumption loans accounted for 6 percent and rose by 3.1 percent from a year earlier. Meanwhile, the average interest rate on new agreements for mortgages to households was 4.49 percent, while average floating on mortgages was 4.56 percent. The annual growth rate for lending to non-financial corporations fell 1.6 percent in May, remaining in negative territory.

2024年6月27日，瑞典央行将其关键政策利率维持在3.75%，符合市场预期，称通胀已接近2%的目标，长期通胀预期保持稳定，工资适度上涨。尽管不包括能源价格在内的通货膨胀率已降至3%，但最近的结果略高于预期，这表明有必要谨慎降息。政策制定者补充说，如果通胀前景保持不变，政策利率可以在下半年下调两到三次。

The Riksbank maintained its key policy rate at 3.75% on June 27, 2024, in line with market expectations saying that inflation is nearing the 2% target, and long-term inflation expectations remain stable, with moderate wage increases. While inflation, excluding energy prices, has fallen to 3%, recent outcomes were slightly higher than expected, suggesting cautious rate cuts are necessary. Policymakers added that if inflation prospects remain the same, the policy rate can be cut two or three times during the second half of the year.